Serie A 2025/26

Statistical Match Analysis & Standings

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🇮🇹 Italy:

Serie A - ROUND 37.

17.05. | AS Roma vs. Lazio Result Tip: 1 | Correct Score: 1-0 | Strength: ⭐⭐ | Probability: 48% Goals Tip: Under 2.5 Goals | Probability: 78% Insight: The Derby della Capitale. Roma's defense has been remarkably stingy at home (conceding just 0.50 goals per match), while Lazio has struggled significantly in away derbies. Expect a high-tension, low-scoring affair where a single set-piece or individual spark from Dybala decides it.

17.05. | Atalanta vs. Bologna Result Tip: 1 | Correct Score: 2-1 | Strength: ⭐⭐⭐ | Probability: 54% Goals Tip: Over 2.5 Goals | Probability: 60% Insight: Both teams are pushing for European spots. Atalanta's home form has been stellar in the second half of the season. Bologna is organized, but Gasperini's tactical intensity at the Gewiss Stadium usually overwhelms mid-to-top tier opponents.

17.05. | Cagliari vs. Torino Result Tip: X | Correct Score: 0-0 | Strength: ⭐⭐⭐ | Probability: 39% Goals Tip: Under 1.5 Goals | Probability: 45% Insight: Cagliari needs points for survival, and Torino has nothing left to play for in mid-table. Torino's defense is notoriously difficult to break down, and with Cagliari likely to be nervous, a dull stalemate is the most statistical probability.

17.05. | Como vs. Parma Result Tip: 1 | Correct Score: 2-0 | Strength: ⭐⭐⭐ | Probability: 51% Goals Tip: Home Win | Probability: 51% Insight: Como has been the fairy tale of the season, currently sitting in the top 6. Parma has improved lately, but Como's efficiency (led by Nicolás Paz) at home is difficult to ignore. Expect a professional performance from the hosts.

17.05. | Genoa vs. AC Milan Result Tip: 2 | Correct Score: 1-2 | Strength: ⭐⭐⭐ | Probability: 55% Goals Tip: Away Win | Probability: 55% Insight: Milan needs to keep winning to secure the runners-up spot. Genoa is a tough nut to crack at the Marassi, but Milan's superior attacking depth, particularly with Rafael Leão's form, should see them through a difficult away trip.

17.05. | Inter vs. Verona Result Tip: 1 | Correct Score: 3-0 | Strength: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Probability: 88% Goals Tip: Home Team Over 2.5 Goals | Probability: 65% Insight: A complete mismatch. Inter is dominating the league and playing at the San Siro against a Verona side that is bottom of the table and has yet to win against a top-half team. Expect a victory lap performance from the Nerazzurri.

17.05. | Juventus vs. Fiorentina Result Tip: 1 | Correct Score: 2-0 | Strength: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Probability: 68% Goals Tip: Home Win to Nil | Probability: 52% Insight: Juventus under Spalletti has prioritized clean sheets. Fiorentina has a poor recent record in Turin and often struggles to convert possession into goals. Juve's clinical nature should result in a routine home victory.

17.05. | Pisa vs. Napoli Result Tip: 2 | Correct Score: 0-3 | Strength: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Probability: 80% Goals Tip: Away Win | Probability: 80% Insight: Pisa is essentially relegated and lacks the quality to stop Napoli's front three. Conte's men will look to finish the season strongly to secure a podium finish, and this should be one of the most one-sided games of the round.

17.05. | Sassuolo vs. Lecce Result Tip: 1 | Correct Score: 2-1 | Strength: ⭐⭐⭐ | Probability: 49% Goals Tip: Both Teams to Score (BTTS) | Probability: 62% Insight: Sassuolo has found their scoring boots in the final weeks, while Lecce is desperate to avoid the drop. Expect an open game, but Sassuolo's superior individual quality in the final third gives them the advantage.

17.05. | Udinese vs. Cremonese Result Tip: 1 | Correct Score: 1-0 | Strength: ⭐⭐⭐ | Probability: 46% Goals Tip: Under 2.5 Goals | Probability: 69% Insight: Two teams that struggle to score. Udinese is far more organized defensively at home. Cremonese will sit deep to try and pinch a point, but Udinese's set-piece dominance should eventually break the deadlock.

* 18+ | Probability is based on our statistical model and is not a guarantee of results.

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